Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 42.71%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 32.13% ( | 25.16% ( | 42.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.15% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.71% ( | 47.29% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.48% ( | 69.52% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( | 27.91% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( | 63.53% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( | 22.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.53% ( | 55.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | York City |
| 1-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 3.23% ( 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 3-0 @ 2.14% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.23% ( Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0-3 @ 3.54% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.7% ( 0-4 @ 1.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.35% Total : 42.71% |