National League | Gameweek 27

Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
3 - 1
Eastleigh

Ferguson (45+2'), Kretzschmar (53' pen.), Obiero (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lloyd (1')

Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-0 Wealdstone
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 4-0 Dorking
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 32.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Eastleigh
32.34% ( 0.11)	25.18% ( 0.04)	42.48% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.71% (

-0.17)

47.29% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.49% (

-0.15)

69.51% (

0.15)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22% (

-0.01)

27.77% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64% (

-0.01)

63.35% (

0.01)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

-0.15)

22.21% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

-0.22)

55.62% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 32.34%

Eastleigh 42.48%

Draw 25.18%

Wealdstone	Draw	Eastleigh
1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.34%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 42.48%