Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 45.95% ( | 24.09% ( | 29.96% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.58% ( | 43.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.19% ( | 65.81% ( |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.93% ( | 19.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.33% ( | 50.66% ( |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.59% ( | 27.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.11% ( | 62.89% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 4-2 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.27% Total : 45.95% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0-0 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 1.43% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0-2 @ 4.38% ( 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 1-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.96% |