National League | Gameweek 30

Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

Grosvenor Vale

Wealdstone
1 - 2
Gateshead

Coverage of the National League clash between Wealdstone and Gateshead.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wealdstone

All competitions

Last Game: Wealdstone 3-1 Eastleigh
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Gateshead 0-3 Wrexham
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.76%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Wealdstone	Draw	Gateshead
40.77% ( 0.21)	24.21% ( -0.04)	35.01% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 60.37% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.83% (

0.17)

42.17% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.42% (

0.17)

64.58% (

-0.17)

Wealdstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

0.17)

20.82% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.5% (

0.27)

53.5% (

-0.27)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.25% (

-0.02)

23.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.11% (

-0.02)

57.89% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Wealdstone 40.77%

Gateshead 35.01%

Draw 24.21%

Wealdstone	Draw	Gateshead
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.79% Total : 40.77%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 3% Total : 35.01%