Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.
Result | ||
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
37.16% ( -0.84) | 24.86% ( -0.04) | 37.98% ( 0.89) |
Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.98% ( 0.21) | 45.02% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.63% ( 0.2) | 67.37% ( -0.2) |
Maidstone United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( -0.35) | 23.89% ( 0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( -0.51) | 58.09% ( 0.51) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.54% ( 0.56) | 23.45% ( -0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.53% ( 0.81) | 57.47% ( -0.81) |
Score Analysis |
Maidstone United | Draw | Eastleigh |
2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.16% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.86% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.11% Total : 37.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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