Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 37.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.13%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.