Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
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Scunthorpe United
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Yeovil Town
Yeovil Town
National League | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Huish Park Stadium
Notts County

Yeovil
1 - 4
Notts County

Oluwabori (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Langstaff (4', 90+4', 90+6'), Rodrigues (83' pen.)
Coverage of the National League clash between Yeovil Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Yeovil 2-2 Maidstone
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 Barnet
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawNotts County
18.03% (-0.187 -0.19)21.45% (0.256 0.26)60.52% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 53.28% (-1.231 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07% (-1.454 -1.45)43.93% (1.455 1.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68% (-1.434 -1.43)66.31% (1.436 1.44)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (-1.072 -1.07)38% (1.075 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (-1.053 -1.05)74.77% (1.055 1.06)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.93% (-0.488 -0.49)14.07% (0.489 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.34% (-0.968 -0.97)41.66% (0.97 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 18.03%
    Notts County 60.52%
    Draw 21.44%
Yeovil TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.17% (0.178 0.18)
2-1 @ 4.91% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.5% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.58% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.03%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.167 0.17)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.332 0.33)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.44%
0-1 @ 10.48% (0.47 0.47)
0-2 @ 10.28% (0.285 0.29)
1-2 @ 9.95% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.72% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-4 @ 3.3% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.19% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-5 @ 1.29% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.25% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.52%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Notts County
1-1
Yeovil
Lacey (90+4')
Francis (41'), Chicksen (54'), Rodrigues (70'), Smith (73')
Bradley (47')
Bradley (54'), Williams (90+5')
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Yeovil
0-2
Notts County

Robinson (55')
Rodrigues (16', 81')
Nemane (11'), Palmer (14'), Chicksen (45'), O'Brien (58'), Rodrigues (82')
Mar 23, 2021 7.45pm
Yeovil
2-2
Notts County
Smith (29'), Reid (38' pen.)
Worthington (11'), Smith (86')
Boldewijn (78'), Rodrigues (86')
Wootton (65'), Kelly-Evans (76')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm