Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Yeovil Town had a probability of 18.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Yeovil Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.