National League Gameweek 34
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Macaulay Langstaff 18' goal
  • Sam Austin 23' goal
  • Macaulay Langstaff 56' goal
  • Sam Austin 83' goal

Notts County vs Southend United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Yeovil 1 - 4 Notts County
Goals scored
117
Top scorer
Macaulay Langstaff

Southend United

All competitions
Last game
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
Southend 1 - 0 Gateshead
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Jack Bridge

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Notts County 54.62% (-0.52)
Draw 23.35% (+0.24)
Southend United 22.03% (+0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.58% (-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.28% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 46.72% (+0.66)
Over 3.5 31.02% (-0.61)
Under 3.5 68.98% (+0.62)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 83.01% (-0.42)
Under 0.5 16.99% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 52.89% (-0.75)
Under 1.5 47.11% (+0.76)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5 64.55% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 35.45% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 27.78% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 72.22% (+0.10)

Score analysis

Notts County 54.61%
Draw 23.35%
Southend United 22.03%
Notts County
1-0 @ 10.67% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 9.46% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.8% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 2.57% (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.48% (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 54.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.07% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 6.02% (+0.17)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.35%
Southend United
0-1 @ 6.25% (+0.16)
1-2 @ 5.74% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.24% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.99% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.03%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 18
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Roots Hall Stadium
  • Ollie Kensdale 54' goal
  • Callum Powell 65' goal
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 34'
  • goal Cedwyn Scott 60'
National League Gameweek 38
Apr 2, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jason Demetriou 44' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 19'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 61'
  • yellowcard Alex Lacey 66'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 80'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 90'
National League Gameweek 20
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cal Roberts 31' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 44' yellowcard
  • Kyle Wootton 63' goal
  • Kyle Wootton 71' goal
  • Kyle Cameron 88' goal
  • Edward Francis 90' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Dalby 10'
  • yellowcard Nathan Ralph 61'
  • yellowcard James Dunne 66'
  • yellowcard Zak Brunt 90'
League Two
Jan 15, 2005 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Chris Palmer 11'
  • yellowcard Gavin Gordon 75'
League Two
Sep 18, 2004 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • David Pipe 52' yellowcard
  • Glynn Hurst 86' goal
  • goal Adam Barrett 28'
  • yellowcard Carl Pettefer 41'
  • goal Adam Barrett 55'