National League | Gameweek 34

Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
4 - 0
Southend

Langstaff (18', 56'), Austin (23', 83')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Yeovil 1-4 Notts County
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Southend 1-0 Gateshead
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 22.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Southend United
54.62% ( -0.52)	23.35% ( 0.23)	22.03% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 53.58% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.28% (

-0.65)

46.72% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.02% (

-0.61)

68.98% (

0.61)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.01% (

-0.42)

16.99% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.89% (

-0.75)

47.11% (

0.75)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

-0.08)

35.45% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.78% (

-0.09)

72.22% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Notts County 54.61%

Southend United 22.03%

Draw 23.35%

Notts County	Draw	Southend United
1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 54.61%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.35%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 22.03%