National League | Gameweek 38

Mar 11, 2023 at 5.20pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
3 - 1
Dorking

Langstaff (18', 52'), Palmer (85')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Prior (13')

Coverage of the National League clash between Notts County and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Notts County
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Dorking 2-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 4.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.8%) and 4-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.62%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 1-2 (1.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
85.22% ( 0.04)	9.92% ( -0.02)	4.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 46.98% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.59% (

-0.05)

26.41% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.26% (

-0.06)

46.73% (

0.05)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.73% (

-0.01)

4.26% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.28% (

-0.01)

17.71% (

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.07% (

-0.13)

50.93% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.7% (

-0.09)

85.29% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Notts County 85.21%

Dorking Wanderers 4.85%

Draw 9.92%

Notts County	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
3-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 3.82% ( -0) 6-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 2.01% ( -0) 7-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 7-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 85.21%	1-1 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 9.92%	1-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.47% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 4.85%