Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.96%) and 0-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
35.62% ( 1.37) | 22.62% ( 0.27) | 41.76% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 66.57% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.86% ( -1.03) | 34.14% ( 1.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.97% ( -1.17) | 56.03% ( 1.18) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.25% ( 0.21) | 19.76% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.21% ( 0.33) | 51.8% ( -0.32) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.96% ( -1.05) | 17.04% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% ( -1.9) | 47.2% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 5.04% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.23% ( -0.19) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.13) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.36% Total : 41.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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