Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 71.77%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 11.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Dorking Wanderers win it was 0-1 (3.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boreham Wood would win this match.
Result | ||
Boreham Wood | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
71.77% ( 7.47) | 16.99% ( -3.2) | 11.24% ( -4.28) |
Both teams to score 50.81% ( -1.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.8% ( 4.64) | 38.2% ( -4.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.53% ( 4.77) | 60.47% ( -4.77) |
Boreham Wood Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.62% ( 3.23) | 9.37% ( -3.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.44% ( 7.15) | 31.56% ( -7.16) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.07% ( -3.51) | 43.93% ( 3.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.93% ( -3.03) | 80.06% ( 3.03) |
Score Analysis |
Boreham Wood | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-0 @ 11.53% ( 0.61) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.8) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.41) 3-0 @ 9.11% ( 1.56) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.66) 4-0 @ 5.39% ( 1.48) 4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.9) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.93) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.63) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.22) 6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.45) Other @ 4.01% Total : 71.76% | 1-1 @ 8.02% ( -1.54) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.98) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.58) Other @ 0.96% Total : 16.99% | 0-1 @ 3.39% ( -1.23) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -1.03) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.7) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.4) Other @ 1.19% Total : 11.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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