Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
19.22% ( -1.59) | 19.61% ( -0.17) | 61.16% ( 1.75) |
Both teams to score 62.2% ( -2.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.68% ( -1.62) | 33.32% ( 1.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.9% ( -1.88) | 55.09% ( 1.88) |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( -2.42) | 30.42% ( 2.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.37% ( -2.97) | 66.63% ( 2.98) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.39% ( -0.04) | 10.6% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.6% ( -0.1) | 34.39% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 19.22% | 1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.61% | 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.65) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 7.23% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.26% Total : 61.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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