National League | Gameweek 41

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

The J. Davidson Stadium

Altrincham
0 - 2
Notts County

FT(HT: 0-1)

Langstaff (25'), Rodrigues (49' pen.)

Coverage of the National League clash between Altrincham and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: Altrincham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Notts County

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

101

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 61.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.12%) and 0-1 (7.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for an Altrincham win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Altrincham	Draw	Notts County
19.22% ( -1.59)	19.61% ( -0.17)	61.16% ( 1.75)

Both teams to score 62.2% (

-2.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.68% (

-1.62)

33.32% (

1.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.9% (

-1.88)

55.09% (

1.88)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.57% (

-2.42)

30.42% (

2.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.37% (

-2.97)

66.63% (

2.98)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

-0.04)

10.6% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.6% (

-0.1)

34.39% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Altrincham 19.22%

Notts County 61.16%

Draw 19.61%

Altrincham	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.29) 3-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.76% Total : 19.22%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.32% Total : 19.61%	1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0.65) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.59) 1-3 @ 7.23% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 6.08% ( 0.48) 2-3 @ 4.3% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.26) 2-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.53% ( 0.12) 2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.06) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.26% Total : 61.16%