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National League | Gameweek 32
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Altrincham

York City
1 - 2
Altrincham

Forde (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hugill (7'), Jones (83')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions
Last Game: Bromley 0-3 York City
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Scunthorpe 2-0 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawAltrincham
41.01% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)24.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)34.13% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.83% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (0.020000000000003 0.02)45.39% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (0.016000000000005 0.02)67.72% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)22.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.0049999999999955 0)55.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.24% (0.013999999999996 0.01)25.76% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.3% (0.022999999999996 0.02)60.7% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    York City 41.01%
    Altrincham 34.13%
    Draw 24.86%
York CityDrawAltrincham
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.43%
3-0 @ 3.26% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.67%
4-0 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.01%
1-1 @ 11.65%
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.57% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 34.13%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 5.20pm
Altrincham
2-1
York City
Newby (53'), Colclough (74')
Kouogun (15')
Pybus (41')
Jul 25, 2020 3pm
York City
0-2
Altrincham
Hancock (8'), Peers (77')
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
York City
P-P
Altrincham
Nov 10, 2019 12.45pm
First Round
York City
0-1
Altrincham

Moke (45'), McNulty (79')
Peers (82')
Jones (22'), Johnston (88')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Altrincham
1-3
York City
Jones (12')
Williams (73')
Ferguson (44'), Tait (51'), Burrow (60')