Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wealdstone win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 37.26% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wealdstone win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.62%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wealdstone would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Altrincham |
| 38.69% ( | 24.05% ( | 37.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.88% ( | 41.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.49% ( | 63.51% ( |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( | 21.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( | 54.34% ( |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.92% ( | 22.08% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.57% ( | 55.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 2-0 @ 5.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 38.69% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.66% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.04% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 2-3 @ 3.23% ( 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 1.58% ( 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.5% Total : 37.26% |