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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Altrincham
National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Southend United

Altrincham
1 - 0
Southend

Linney (80' pen.)
Welch-Hayes (44')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ralph (47'), Taylor (49'), Miley (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Altrincham and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Altrincham

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-2 Altrincham
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Southend United

All competitions
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Aldershot
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

We said: Altrincham 1-0 Southend United

 Altrincham still have plenty to play for this season in the National League and the FA Trophy, so they will be highly motivated on Saturday to earn three points. Southend's playoff dreams are all but dead, and we cannot envisage them earning a first maximum of the month in Cheshire on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 41.12%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Altrincham in this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
33.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 24.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 41.12% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.27% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)45.73% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.95% (-0.041999999999998 -0.04)68.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.03% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)61.06% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.81% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)22.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.6% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 33.95%
    Southend United 41.12%
    Draw 24.92%
AltrinchamDrawSouthend United
2-1 @ 7.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 7.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.78% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.81% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.55% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 41.12%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Southend
2-2
Altrincham
Bridge (27'), Wreh (42')
Scott-Morriss (8')
Colclough (35'), Newby (59')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Southend
2-0
Altrincham
Ralph (35'), Dennis (41')
Dennis (83')

Perritt (53'), Mullarkey (83')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Altrincham
1-2
Southend
Mooney (68')
Murphy (1'), Dalby (34')
Demetriou (45'), Phillips (80'), Lopata (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City21135343192444
2Barnet21142542241844
3Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton219572926332
8AltrinchamAltrincham218763528731
9Solihull MoorsSolihull219483734331
10Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
11Halifax TownHalifax218762119231
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot215792835-722
18Woking2156101928-921
19Fylde2163122541-1621
20WealdstoneWealdstone204882229-720
21Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2116141546-319
> National League Full Table


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