Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Boreham Wood
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
Southend United

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Boreham Wood and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
49.58% (6.098 6.1)25.9% (-0.811 -0.81)24.52% (-5.287 -5.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-1.459 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (2.855 2.86)22.05% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (4.14 4.14)55.38% (-4.141 -4.14)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-4.317 -4.32)37.52% (4.317 4.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-4.491 -4.49)74.3% (4.49 4.49)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 49.57%
    Southend United 24.52%
    Draw 25.9%
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 12.5% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (1.465 1.47)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.46 0.46)
3-0 @ 4.77% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.346 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.977 -0.98)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-1.05 -1.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.604 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Boreham Wood vs Southend

Boreham Wood
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southend United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Southend
0-1
Boreham Wood

(90+6')
Newton (28')
Ndlovu (33'), Newton (45')
Ndlovu (72'), Kelly-Evans (89')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Southend
1-0
Boreham Wood
Bridge (77')
Cardwell (54'), Dunne (57')

Mafuta (47'), Orsi (81'), Fyfield (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Boreham Wood
1-0
Southend
Marsh (83')
Mafuta (28'), Fyfield (90+1')

Ogogo (64'), Ferguson (70')
Ogogo (64')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Boreham Wood
2-2
Southend
Boreham Wood win 4-3 on penalties
Fyfield (8'), Ricketts (51'), Tshimanga (93' pen.)
Ilesanmi (53'), Rhead (73'), Mafuta (76'), Ashmore (96'), Thomas (104')
Goodship (59'), Egbri (63'), Olayinka (100')