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Boreham Wood
National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
Southend United

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
Marsh (63'), Sousa (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73'), Kensdale (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Boreham Wood and Southend United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Southend United

Fresh off the back of ending their seven-game winless run in the league, Boreham Wood will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their promotion race back on track. The hosts take on a Southend United side who have suffered a drop-off in form and we predict that they will build on last week's victory over Oldham Athletic and secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
49.58% (6.098 6.1) 25.9% (-0.811 -0.81) 24.52% (-5.287 -5.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-1.459 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (2.855 2.86)22.05% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (4.14 4.14)55.38% (-4.141 -4.14)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-4.317 -4.32)37.52% (4.317 4.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-4.491 -4.49)74.3% (4.49 4.49)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 49.57%
    Southend United 24.52%
    Draw 25.9%
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 12.5% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (1.465 1.47)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.46 0.46)
3-0 @ 4.77% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.346 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.977 -0.98)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-1.05 -1.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.604 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

How you voted: Boreham Wood vs Southend

Boreham Wood
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Southend United
20.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Southend
0-1
Boreham Wood

(90+6')
Newton (28')
Ndlovu (33'), Newton (45')
Ndlovu (72'), Kelly-Evans (89')
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Southend
1-0
Boreham Wood
Bridge (77')
Cardwell (54'), Dunne (57')

Mafuta (47'), Orsi (81'), Fyfield (90+1')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Boreham Wood
1-0
Southend
Marsh (83')
Mafuta (28'), Fyfield (90+1')

Ogogo (64'), Ferguson (70')
Ogogo (64')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
First Round
Boreham Wood
2-2
Southend
Boreham Wood win 4-3 on penalties
Fyfield (8'), Ricketts (51'), Tshimanga (93' pen.)
Ilesanmi (53'), Rhead (73'), Mafuta (76'), Ashmore (96'), Thomas (104')
Goodship (59'), Egbri (63'), Olayinka (100')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1York City21135343192444
2Barnet21142542241844
3Forest Green RoversForest Green20126238172142
4Gateshead21115537271038
5Oldham AthleticOldham19107233171637
6Rochdale19103628181033
7Sutton UnitedSutton219572926332
8AltrinchamAltrincham218763528731
9Solihull MoorsSolihull219483734331
10Yeovil TownYeovil219482422231
11Halifax TownHalifax218762119231
12Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool217862424029
13Eastleigh207762726128
14Southend UnitedSouthend216872424026
15Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red206773426825
16Tamworth197482233-1125
17Aldershot TownAldershot215792835-722
18Woking2156101928-921
19Fylde2163122541-1621
20WealdstoneWealdstone204882229-720
21Braintree TownBraintree2155111828-1020
22Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead2154122643-1719
23Boston UnitedBoston2136121936-1715
24Ebbsfleet2116141546-319


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