Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
34.3% | 25.72% | 39.98% |
Both teams to score 54.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.81% | 49.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.75% | 71.25% |
Altrincham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.52% | 27.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% | 62.96% |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% | 24.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.34% | 58.65% |
Score Analysis |
Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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