Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
| 34.3% | 25.72% | 39.98% |
| Both teams to score 54.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.81% | 49.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% | 71.25% |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.52% | 27.47% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.03% | 62.96% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.71% | 24.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.34% | 58.65% |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 8.62% 2-1 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.57% 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 2.4% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.3% | 1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 5.58% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 8.63% 0-2 @ 6.68% 1-3 @ 4.07% 0-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.87% Total : 39.98% |