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Altrincham
FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
The J. Davidson Stadium
Gateshead

Altrincham
2 - 3
Gateshead

Hancock (30'), Mooney (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Langstaff (22', 90+1'), Ward (57')
Ward (44')
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round Replays clash between Altrincham and Gateshead.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 45.39%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
30.91%23.69%45.39%
Both teams to score 60.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.91%41.08%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.52%63.47%
Altrincham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.36%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.46%60.53%
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.63%18.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.5%49.49%
Score Analysis
    Altrincham 30.91%
    Gateshead 45.39%
    Draw 23.69%
AltrinchamDrawGateshead
2-1 @ 7.39%
1-0 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.36%
3-1 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 1.98%
4-1 @ 1.14%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 30.91%
1-1 @ 10.86%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.71%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.2%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.76%
1-3 @ 5.2%
0-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.54%
1-4 @ 2.2%
0-4 @ 1.62%
2-4 @ 1.5%
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 45.39%

How you voted: Altrincham vs Gateshead

Altrincham
56.3%
Draw
31.3%
Gateshead
12.5%
16
rhs 2.0


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