Gateshead

2 - 1

Alfreton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 51.75%. A win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.25% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Alfreton Town win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Gateshead in this match.