Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.09%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 60.79% | 21.35% | 17.86% |
| Both teams to score 53.28% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.24% | 43.77% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.85% | 66.16% |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.07% | 13.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.61% | 41.39% |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.9% | 38.1% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.14% | 74.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.46% 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.95% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 6.54% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-2 @ 1.56% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.91% Total : 60.79% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 0-0 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 4.8% 3-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 0.13% Total : 21.34% | 0-1 @ 5.12% 1-2 @ 4.87% 0-2 @ 2.47% 1-3 @ 1.57% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.29% Total : 17.86% |