National League | Gameweek 10

Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Crabble Athletic Ground

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Aldershot

Cosgrove (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Willard (23'), Edser (74')
Edser (41'), Whittingham (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Dover Athletic and Aldershot Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Dover Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
34.41%	26.25%	39.34%

Both teams to score 53.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55%

51.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74%

73.26%

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5%

28.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.72%

64.28%

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.35%

25.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.45%

60.55%

Score Analysis

Dover Athletic 34.41%

Aldershot Town 39.34%

Draw 26.25%

Dover Athletic	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 7.84% 2-0 @ 5.76% 3-1 @ 3.28% 3-0 @ 2.41% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.41%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 5.33% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25%	0-1 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.77% 1-3 @ 3.85% 0-3 @ 3.07% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.31% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.43% Total : 39.34%