National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Roots Hall Stadium

Southend
1 - 2
Aldershot

Murphy (16')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Frost (63'), Partington (70' pen.)

Coverage of the National League clash between Southend United and Aldershot Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southend United

All competitions

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Southend
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Aldershot Town

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Southend United	Draw	Aldershot Town
63.11% ( 0.09)	20.88% ( -0.05)	16.02% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.94% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.07% (

0.16)

44.93% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.71% (

0.15)

67.29% (

-0.15)

Southend United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.4% (

0.08)

13.6% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.26% (

0.16)

40.74% (

-0.16)

Aldershot Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.96% (

0.05)

41.04% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.41% (

0.04)

77.59% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Southend United 63.09%

Aldershot Town 16.02%

Draw 20.88%

Southend United	Draw	Aldershot Town
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 63.09%	1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.88%	0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.02%