Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 63.11%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
63.11% ( 0.09) | 20.88% ( -0.05) | 16.02% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 50.94% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.07% ( 0.16) | 44.93% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.71% ( 0.15) | 67.29% ( -0.15) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.4% ( 0.08) | 13.6% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.26% ( 0.16) | 40.74% ( -0.16) |
Aldershot Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.96% ( 0.05) | 41.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.41% ( 0.04) | 77.59% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Aldershot Town |
1-0 @ 11.13% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.87% Total : 63.09% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.88% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.31% 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 16.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 22 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 47 |
2 | York City | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 45 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 45 |
4 | Gateshead | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 40 |
6 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 34 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 34 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 34 |
9 | Rochdale | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
10 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 32 |
11 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 32 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 30 |
13 | Eastleigh | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 29 |
14 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 28 |
15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
16 | Tamworth | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Fylde | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 22 |
19 | Woking | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 20 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 37 | -18 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 22 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 50 | -34 | 9 |
> National League Full Table |