National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Silverlake Stadium

Eastleigh
3 - 2
Altrincham

Jones (7' og.), Mitchell (10'), Maghoma (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Hulme (29'), Jones (90+3')

Coverage of the National League clash between Eastleigh and Altrincham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Eastleigh
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Altrincham

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 45.42%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eastleigh would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
45.42% ( 0.01)	25.82% ( 0)	28.76% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.47% (

-0.04)

51.52% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.67% (

-0.03)

73.32% (

0.03)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.36% (

-0.01)

22.64% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.73% (

-0.01)

56.27% (

0.01)

Altrincham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.61% (

-0.04)

32.39% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.1% (

-0.04)

68.9% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 45.41%

Altrincham 28.76%

Draw 25.82%

Eastleigh	Draw	Altrincham
1-0 @ 10.89% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.41%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.76%