National League | Gameweek 40

Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
3 - 0
York City

Whitley (42' og.), Dalby (80'), Lee (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Wrexham and York City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Bromley 1-2 Wrexham
Saturday, March 18 at 3.15pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 2-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.05%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for York City had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	York City
80.05%	13.05%	6.9%

Both teams to score 46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.28%

33.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.45%

55.54%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.44%

6.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

75.58%

24.42%

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.76%

50.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.17%

84.82%

Score Analysis

Wrexham 80.04%

York City 6.9%

Draw 13.05%

Wrexham	Draw	York City
2-0 @ 12.22% 3-0 @ 11.1% 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 7.64% 4-0 @ 7.57% 4-1 @ 5.21% 5-0 @ 4.12% 5-1 @ 2.84% 3-2 @ 2.63% 6-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.79% 6-1 @ 1.29% 5-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.39% Total : 80.04%	1-1 @ 6.18% 0-0 @ 3.29% 2-2 @ 2.9% Other @ 0.68% Total : 13.05%	0-1 @ 2.27% 1-2 @ 2.13% Other @ 2.51% Total : 6.9%