National League Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Ryan Whitley 42' goal
  • Sam Dalby 80' goal
  • Elliot Lee 90'+2' goal

Wrexham vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.15pm
Bromley 1 - 2 Wrexham
Goals scored
116
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

York City

All competitions
Last game
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
York City 2 - 1 Dorking
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lenell John-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 80.05%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for York City had a probability of 6.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.18%), while for a York City win it was 0-1 (2.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result

Wrexham 80.05%
Draw 13.05%
York City 6.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.5%

Goals

Over 2.5 66.28%
Under 2.5 33.72%
Over 3.5 44.45%
Under 3.5 55.54%
Over 4.5 25.83%
Under 4.5 74.17%

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 93.44%
Under 0.5 6.55%
Over 1.5 75.58%
Under 1.5 24.42%

York City Goals

Over 0.5 49.76%
Under 0.5 50.24%
Over 1.5 15.17%
Under 1.5 84.82%

Score analysis

Wrexham 80.04%
Draw 13.05%
York City 6.9%
Wrexham
2-0 @ 12.22%
3-0 @ 11.1%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-1 @ 8.42%
3-1 @ 7.64%
4-0 @ 7.57%
4-1 @ 5.21%
5-0 @ 4.12%
5-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.63%
6-0 @ 1.87%
4-2 @ 1.79%
6-1 @ 1.29%
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 80.04%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 3.29%
2-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 13.05%
York City
0-1 @ 2.27%
1-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 6.9%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 22
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Manny Duku 90'+2' goal
  • goal Thomas O'Connor 88'
National League
Apr 17, 2017 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Jon Parkin 2' goal
  • goal Jordan White 30'
  • goal Jordan White 58'
  • yellowcard Russell Penn 77'
  • goal Leo Smith 91'
  • yellowcard Mark Carrington 92'
National League
Aug 29, 2016 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • John Rooney 16' goal
  • Sean Newton 63' goal
  • Shaun Harrad 73' yellowcard
  • Sean Newton 87' yellowcard
  • goal Richard Brodie 24'
  • yellowcard Richard Brodie 40'
  • yellowcard Alex Whittle 59'
  • yellowcard Shaun Rooney 73'
  • yellowcard Matt Fry 88'