National League Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Poolfoot Farm
  • Elliot Lee 4' goal
  • Sam Dalby 45'+1' goal
  • goal Ryan Colclough 90'+5'

Wrexham vs Chesterfield - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Wrexham 3 - 1 Dorking
Goals scored
116
Top scorer
Paul Mullin

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
Chesterfield 0 - 1 Oldham
Goals scored
81
Top scorer
Liam Mandeville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result

Wrexham 64.08% (+2.24)
Draw 20.11% (-0.56)
Chesterfield 15.8% (-1.69)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.04% (-1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.1% (-0.61)
Under 2.5 41.89% (+0.61)
Over 3.5 35.7% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 64.3% (+0.62)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 87.62% (+0.45)
Under 0.5 12.38% (-0.46)
Over 1.5 61.75% (+0.94)
Under 1.5 38.24% (-0.94)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 60.54% (-2.42)
Under 0.5 39.46% (+2.42)
Over 1.5 23.85% (-2.33)
Under 1.5 76.15% (+2.32)

Score analysis

Wrexham 64.07%
Draw 20.11%
Chesterfield 15.8%
Wrexham
2-0 @ 10.65% (+0.64)
1-0 @ 10.2% (+0.44)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.42% (+0.57)
3-1 @ 6.9% (+0.10)
4-0 @ 3.88% (+0.36)
4-1 @ 3.61% (+0.11)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.18)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.07)
5-0 @ 1.62% (+0.18)
5-1 @ 1.51% (+0.08)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 64.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.49% (-0.21)
0-0 @ 4.88% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.61% (-0.34)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 20.11%
Chesterfield
0-1 @ 4.54% (-0.18)
1-2 @ 4.41% (-0.40)
0-2 @ 2.11% (-0.24)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.21)
1-3 @ 1.37% (-0.23)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 15.8%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 3
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Technique Stadium
  • Jeff King 10' goal
  • Oliver Banks 23' goal
  • Jeff King 32' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Callum McFadzean 31'
  • yellowcard Ollie Palmer 73'
  • yellowcard Thomas O'Connor 85'
National League Gameweek 31
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Tyrone Williams 63' yellowcard
  • Tom Whelan 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie Palmer 58'
  • goal Ollie Palmer 68'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 75'
  • yellowcard Robert Lainton 90'+8'
National League Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Paul Mullin 84' goal
  • goal Fraser Kerr 5'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 19'
  • yellowcard James Kellerman 45'
  • yellowcard Fraser Kerr 75'
National League Gameweek 49
Apr 24, 2021 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jordan Davies 75' yellowcard
National League Gameweek 24
Jan 23, 2021 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Akwasi Asante 10' goal
  • Jak McCourt 18' yellowcard
  • Akwasi Asante 88' goal
  • 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Young 19'
  • yellowcard Jordan Davies 69'
National League Gameweek 41
Feb 8, 2020 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Proact Stadium
  • Tom Denton 25' goal
  • Liam Mandeville 72' goal
  • Will Evans 79' yellowcard
  • Curtis Weston 90' goal
  • David Buchanan 90' yellowcard
  • goal Will Evans 21' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jake Lawlor 43'
  • goal Jordan Ponticelli 68'
  • yellowcard JJ Hooper 79'

Build-up

Match Preview