National League | Gameweek 24

Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Poolfoot Farm

Wrexham
2 - 1
Chesterfield

Lee (4'), Dalby (45+1')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Colclough (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Wrexham and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Wrexham 3-3 Nott'm Forest (4-3 pen.)
Friday, January 9 at 7.30pm in FA Cup

Next Game: Wrexham vs. Norwich
Saturday, January 17 at 3pm in Championship

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 0-1 Cambridge
Monday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

Next Game: Chesterfield vs. Bromley
Saturday, January 17 at 12.30pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 64.08%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chesterfield had a probability of 15.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Chesterfield win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Wrexham in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Wrexham.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	Chesterfield
64.08% ( 2.23)	20.11% ( -0.55)	15.8% ( -1.68)

Both teams to score 53.04% (

-1.83)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.1% (

-0.61)

41.89% (

0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.7% (

-0.62)

64.3% (

0.61)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.62% (

0.45)

12.38% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.75% (

0.93)

38.24% (

-0.94)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.54% (

-2.42)

39.46% (

2.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.85% (

-2.32)

76.15% (

2.32)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 64.07%

Chesterfield 15.8%

Draw 20.11%

Wrexham	Draw	Chesterfield
2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.63) 1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.17) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.07%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.33) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.11%	0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.94% Total : 15.8%