National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
2 - 1
Dorking

Duku (7'), Fallowfield (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Gallagher (86')

Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Dorking Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-2 Altrincham
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Dorking Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Dorking
Saturday, March 11 at 5.20pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.47%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for York City in this match.

Result
York City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
52.47% ( 4.51)	23.23% ( -0.82)	24.3% ( -3.69)

Both teams to score 56.81% (

-0.71)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

0.65)

43.78% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

0.63)

66.17% (

-0.63)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.31% (

1.96)

16.69% (

-1.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

3.39)

46.58% (

-3.39)

Dorking Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.19% (

-2.52)

31.81% (

2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.75% (

-2.99)

68.25% (

2.99)

Score Analysis

York City 52.47%

Dorking Wanderers 24.3%

Draw 23.22%

York City	Draw	Dorking Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.81) 3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.52) 3-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.77) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.46) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.13) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.19) Other @ 3.19% Total : 52.47%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.22%	1-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.68) 0-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.63) 0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.64) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.36) Other @ 2.66% Total : 24.3%