Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Manchester United had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Manchester United win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.