Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 37

May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

City Ground

Nott'm Forest
1 - 0
Arsenal

Awoniyi (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Reaction

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta and assistant manager Albert Stuivenberg react on May 20, 2023

Mikel Arteta "extremely sad" as Arsenal miss out on Premier League title

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta reflects on an "extremely sad" day as the Gunners miss out on the Premier League title with a 1-0 defeat to Nottingham Forest.

May 20, 19:51

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, May 13 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Arsenal

All competitions

Last Game: Arsenal 0-3 Brighton
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 70.9%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-3 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Nottingham Forest	Draw	Arsenal
12.7% ( 0)	16.4% ( 0)	70.9% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.35% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.93% (

0.01)

31.07% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.53% (

0.01)

52.47% (

-0.01)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.28% (

0.01)

36.72% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.49% (

0.01)

73.51% (

-0.01)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.22% (

-0)

7.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.35% (

27.64% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Nottingham Forest 12.7%

Arsenal 70.9%

Draw 16.4%

Nottingham Forest	Draw	Arsenal
2-1 @ 3.66% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.86% 3-2 @ 1.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 1.43% 3-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.96% Total : 12.7%	1-1 @ 7.31% 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 16.4%	1-2 @ 9.33% 0-2 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 7.94% 0-3 @ 7.93% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 5.07% 0-4 @ 5.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.59% ( 0) 0-5 @ 2.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.54% ( 0) 2-5 @ 1.3% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.1% 0-6 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.75% Total : 70.9%