Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Ivan Toney 82' goal
  • Josh Dasilva 90'+4' goal
  • goal Danilo 45'+1'

Brentford vs Nottingham Forest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 7.45pm
Chelsea 0 - 2 Brentford
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Ivan Toney

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 7.30pm
Nott'm Forest 3 - 1 Brighton
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result

Brentford 57.62% (-0.11)
Draw 22.73% (+0.03)
Nottingham Forest 19.65% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.01% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.95% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 47.06% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.7% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.3% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 15.16% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.84% (+0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 83.94% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 16.06% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 54.57% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 45.44% (+0.08)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 61.97% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 38.04% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 25.2% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 74.81% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Brentford 57.61%
Draw 22.73%
Nottingham Forest 19.65%
Brentford
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.21% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.23% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.85% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 57.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.11% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 22.73%
Nottingham Forest
0-1 @ 5.91% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.22% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.85% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.65%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 15
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 20' goal
  • Mathias Jorgensen 90'+6' goal
  • goal Bryan Mbeumo 45'+3'
  • goal Yoane Wissa 75'
Championship Gameweek 38
Mar 20, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Griffin Park
  • Ivan Toney 12' goal
  • Vitaly Janelt 26' yellowcard
  • Henrik Dalsgaard 35' yellowcard
  • Emiliano Marcondes 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Mighten 25'
  • goal Filip Krovinovic 63'
  • yellowcard Cafu 67'
  • yellowcard Sammy Ameobi 78'
  • yellowcard Tobias Figueiredo 90'
Championship Gameweek 18
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT The City Ground
  • Tobias Figueiredo 61' yellowcard
  • Brice Samba 64' yellowcard
  • Anthony Knockaert 79' yellowcard
  • Joe Worrall 90'+2' goal
  • Anthony Knockaert 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Henrik Dalsgaard 15'
  • yellowcard Ivan Toney 64'
  • yellowcard David Raya 82'
  • goal Josh Dasilva 83'
  • goal Ivan Toney 88'
  • yellowcard Vitaly Janelt 90'+2'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Griffin Park
  • Said Benrahma 39' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Lolley 14'
  • yellowcard Brice Samba 23'
Championship Gameweek 11
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ben Watson 56' goal
  • yellowcard Sergi Canos 35'
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 9, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT The City Ground (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Lewis Grabban 16' goal
  • Ryan Yates 62' yellowcard
  • Molla Wague 79' goal
  • Alexander Milosevic 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moses Odubajo 59'
  • goal Sergi Canos 89'

Build-up

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