Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.