Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 32

Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brentford Community Stadium

Brentford
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Toney (65')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Luiz (87')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Aston Villa

All competitions

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Brentford	Draw	Aston Villa
38.29% ( 0.06)	26.36% ( 0)	35.35% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 52.96% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.24% (

-0.01)

51.75% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.47% (

-0.01)

73.52% (

0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

0.03)

26.36% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

0.04)

61.51% (

-0.04)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.93% (

-0.05)

28.07% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.26% (

-0.06)

63.74% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Brentford 38.29%

Aston Villa 35.35%

Draw 26.35%

Brentford	Draw	Aston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.29%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 35.35%