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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Aston Villa logo

Brentford
1 - 1
Aston Villa

Toney (65')
Norgaard (23'), Schade (55'), Janelt (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Luiz (87')
Young (29'), Luiz (70')

The Match

Match Report

Brentford and Aston Villa both suffer blows in their respective European ambitions with a 1-1 stalemate at the Brentford Community Stadium this afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brentford and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Brentford
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-0 Newcastle
Saturday, April 15 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
38.29% (0.064 0.06) 26.36% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.35% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.011999999999993 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.24% (-0.012 -0.01)51.75% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.47% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)73.52% (0.012 0.01)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.36% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.49% (0.038999999999994 0.04)61.51% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.93% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)28.07% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.26% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)63.74% (0.058 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 38.29%
    Aston Villa 35.35%
    Draw 26.35%
BrentfordDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 9.87% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.58% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.92% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 9.4% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.53% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 35.35%

How you voted: Brentford vs Aston Villa

Brentford
25.3%
Draw
18.5%
Aston Villa
56.2%
233
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 2pm
gameweek 13
Aston Villa
4-0
Brentford
Bailey (2'), Ings (7', 14' pen.), Watkins (59')
Ings (35')
Jan 2, 2022 2pm
gameweek 21
Brentford
2-1
Aston Villa
Wissa (42'), Roerslev (83')
Onyeka (31'), Toney (77')
Ings (16')
Ramsey (30'), McGinn (89')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
gameweek 3
Aston Villa
1-1
Brentford
Buendia (13')
El Ghazi (50'), Cash (61'), Ings (72')
Toney (7')
Toney (52'), Norgaard (60'), Janelt (75')
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
gameweek 32
Brentford
1-0
Aston Villa
Maupay (91')

Hutton (40')
Aug 22, 2018 7.45pm
gameweek 4
Aston Villa
2-2
Brentford
Kodjia (39', 90')
Kodjia (16'), Chester (67'), Grealish (68')
Maupay (23', 82')
Watkins (33'), Benrahma (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


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