Premier League Gameweek 35
May 8, 2023 8.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 18' goal
  • Taiwo Awoniyi 21' goal
  • Morgan Gibbs-White 44' goal
  • Danilo 73' goal
  • goal Carlos Alcaraz 25'
  • goal Lyanco 51'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 90'+6'

Nottingham Forest vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nottingham Forest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 1 Nott'm Forest
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Taiwo Awoniyi

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
Newcastle 3 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
James Ward-Prowse

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result

Nottingham Forest 42.86% (-0.35)
Draw 27.06% (+0.15)
Southampton 30.08% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.25% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.2% (-0.47)
Under 2.5 55.8% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 23.07% (-0.39)
Under 3.5 76.92% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 10.16% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 89.84% (+0.24)

Nottingham Forest Goals

Over 0.5 74.22% (-0.39)
Under 0.5 25.77% (+0.39)
Over 1.5 39.28% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 60.72% (+0.53)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 33.64% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 29.7% (-0.12)
Under 1.5 70.29% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Nottingham Forest 42.85%
Draw 27.05%
Southampton 30.08%
Nottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.75% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.97% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.92% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.6% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.33% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 42.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.8% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 8.67% (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 27.05%
Southampton
0-1 @ 9.45% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.98% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.87% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 30.08%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2023 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Taiwo Awoniyi 27'
Championship
Jan 14, 2012 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Luke Chambers 50' redcard
  • yellowcard Jos Hooiveld 25'
  • goal David Connolly 65'
  • goal Morgan Schneiderlin 79'
Championship
Sep 10, 2011 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Rickie Lambert 8' goal
  • Rickie Lambert 24' goal
  • David Connolly 33' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 51' yellowcard
  • Rickie Lambert 82' goal
  • goal Matt Derbyshire 7'
  • yellowcard Guy Moussi 26'
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 33'
  • goal Radoslaw Majewski 42'
  • yellowcard Matt Derbyshire 81'
Championship
May 3, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Garner 73' goal
  • Luke Chambers 87' goal
  • Robert Earnshaw 90' goal
  • goal Bradley Wright-Phillips 16'
  • yellowcard Lloyd James 61'
Championship
Dec 20, 2008 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Lallana 19' yellowcard
  • Jack Cork 43' yellowcard
  • Rudi Skacel 61' yellowcard
  • Chris Perry 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Chris Cohen 26'
  • yellowcard Brendan Moloney 35'
  • goal Wes Morgan 42'
  • goal Joe Garner 75'
Premier League
Dec 28, 1998 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Steve Chettle 54' goal
  • goal Hassan Kachloul 48'