Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Torquay United
National League | Gameweek 46
Apr 29, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Plainmoor Ground
Wrexham AFC

Torquay Utd
1 - 1
Wrexham

Nouble (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lee (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Torquay United and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 2-2 Torquay Utd
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in National League

Wrexham

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 22 at 6.30pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 19.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.18%) and 0-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Torquay United win it was 2-1 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Torquay UnitedDrawWrexham
19.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)21.35% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)58.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 57.17% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (0.012 0.01)40.47% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.012 0.01)62.85% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Torquay United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.1% (0.01100000000001 0.01)33.9% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)70.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)13.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.45% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Torquay United 19.97%
    Wrexham 58.67%
    Draw 21.35%
Torquay UnitedDrawWrexham
2-1 @ 5.36% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 4.95% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 2.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
3-1 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 19.97%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.29% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 9.93%
0-2 @ 9.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.62%
0-3 @ 6.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-3 @ 3.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 3.32% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 3.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.23%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 58.67%

How you voted: Torquay Utd vs Wrexham

Torquay United
20.0%
Draw
10.0%
Wrexham
70.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2022 3pm
gameweek 11
Wrexham
6-0
Torquay Utd
Davies (11'), Mullin (29'), Palmer (42'), Hayden (72'), Dalby (80'), Forde (90')

Jarvis (77')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
gameweek 28
Torquay Utd
1-0
Wrexham
Hall (8')
Moxey (38'), Wearne (69'), Lapslie (83'), (87')

Ponticelli (22'), (87')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 14
Wrexham
1-1
Torquay Utd
Lennon (4')
Lennon (47'), Lainton (58')
Lemonheigh-Evans (84')
Perritt (54'), Moxey (90+6')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
gameweek 45
Wrexham
0-1
Torquay Utd

Angus (76'), Harris (84')
Sherring (90+3')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
gameweek 17
Torquay Utd
3-1
Wrexham
Whitfield (5'), Hall (17' pen.), Lemonheigh-Evans (74')
MacDonald (75')
Vassell (19')
Horsfield (10')