National League | Gameweek 32

Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
5 - 1
Torquay Utd

Banks (25'), Dallas (27', 40', 61'), Mandeville (47')

FT(HT: 3-0)

McGavin (77')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Torquay United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Chesterfield 3-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 3-2 York City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Torquay United
66.99% ( 1.52)	19.24% ( -0.48)	13.76% ( -1.03)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-1.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.71% (

-0.09)

42.29% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.31% (

-0.09)

64.69% (

0.1)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.3% (

0.39)

11.69% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.21% (

0.82)

36.79% (

-0.82)

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.48% (

-1.53)

42.51% (

1.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.12% (

-1.34)

78.88% (

1.34)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 66.97%

Torquay United 13.76%

Draw 19.24%

Chesterfield	Draw	Torquay United
2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.97%	1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.24%	0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.76%