Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
66.99% ( 1.52) | 19.24% ( -0.48) | 13.76% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( -0.09) | 42.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( -0.09) | 64.69% ( 0.1) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.3% ( 0.39) | 11.69% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.21% ( 0.82) | 36.79% ( -0.82) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.48% ( -1.53) | 42.51% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.12% ( -1.34) | 78.88% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.24% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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