National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
3 - 2
Eastleigh

Colclough (72', 89'), Dallas (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Mitchell (10'), Carter (33')

Coverage of the National League clash between Chesterfield and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Chesterfield
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 2-5 Gateshead
Wednesday, April 12 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 14.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Eastleigh
66.4% ( -0.01)	19.2% ( -0)	14.39% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.65% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.34% (

0.02)

40.66% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.96% (

0.02)

63.04% (

-0.02)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.62% (

11.38% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.88% (

0.01)

36.12% (

-0.01)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.42% (

0.02)

40.58% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.82% (

0.02)

77.18% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 66.39%

Eastleigh 14.39%

Draw 19.2%

Chesterfield	Draw	Eastleigh
2-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.84% 3-0 @ 7.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.13% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.87% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) Other @ 3.93% Total : 66.39%	1-1 @ 9.05% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.2%	0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.71% Total : 14.39%