Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 41
Apr 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Gateshead

Eastleigh
2 - 5
Gateshead

Carter (11'), Mitchell (84')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Martin (7', 49'), Campbell (27'), Olley (64'), Bailey (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-3 Aldershot
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Gateshead
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawGateshead
35.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.21% (0.0019999999999989 0)39.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 35.4%
    Gateshead 39.39%
    Draw 25.21%
EastleighDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Gateshead

Eastleigh
43.3%
Draw
20.0%
Gateshead
36.7%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gateshead
1-1
Eastleigh
Jarvis (74')
Hill (20')
Whitehall (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Eastleigh
1-0
Gateshead
Johnson (15')
Johnson (45')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gateshead
0-1
Eastleigh

White (75')
Hare (77')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Gateshead
2-0
Eastleigh
Johnson (45'), Burrow (52')
Preston (13')

Johnson (51')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Eastleigh
3-2
Gateshead
Williamson (4'), Constable (62'), Strevens (90')
Green (33'), Cresswell (71')
Preston (74'), Vassell (87')
rhs 2.0


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