Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
35.4% ( -0) | 25.21% ( 0) | 39.39% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.23% ( -0.01) | 46.77% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.97% ( -0.01) | 69.03% ( 0.01) |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.33% ( -0) | 25.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.42% ( -0.01) | 60.59% ( 0.01) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0) | 23.51% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.46% ( -0) | 57.54% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Gateshead |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.58% 3-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.55% Total : 35.4% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.21% | 0-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.6% 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.82% 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% 2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 39.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 24 | 44 |
2 | Barnet | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 44 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 42 |
4 | Gateshead | 21 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 37 | 27 | 10 | 38 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 33 | 17 | 16 | 37 |
6 | Rochdale | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 32 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 31 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 31 |
10 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 31 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 29 |
13 | Eastleigh | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 28 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 26 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 25 |
16 | Tamworth | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 25 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
18 | Woking | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Fylde | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 41 | -16 | 21 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 20 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 26 | 43 | -17 | 19 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 46 | -31 | 9 |
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