National League
Gameweek
40
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-
Joe Partington
7'
-
Corey Jordan
90'+2'
-
Adam Campbell
20'
-
Marcus Dinanga
48'
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Marcus Dinanga
57'
Aldershot Town vs Gateshead - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 32.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.
Result
Aldershot Town
32.7%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
24.85%
▲
(+0.01)
Gateshead
42.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
57.44%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.29%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
45.71%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
31.97%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 3.5
68.03%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
16.06%
Under 4.5
83.95%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5
73.22%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
26.78%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
37.94%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
62.06%
▲
(+0.01)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5
78.45%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
21.55%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
45.37%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
54.63%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Aldershot Town
32.7%
Draw
24.85%
Gateshead
42.45%
Aldershot Town
2-1
@
7.69%
▼
(-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.7%
1-0 @ 7.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.01% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 32.7%
Draw
1-1
@
11.67%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
2-2 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.85%
Gateshead
1-2
@
8.96%
0-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.45%
0-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.58% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.48% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.76%
0-4 @ 1.33%
2-4 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 42.45%
Scott Barrow
83'