Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Boreham Wood
Braintree Town
Carlisle United
Eastleigh
Forest Green Rovers
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Morecambe
Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Gateshead
National League | Gameweek 36
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Gateshead International Stadium
Chesterfield

Gateshead
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Grimes (5' og.)
FT(HT: 1-1)
McCallum (43'), Colclough (90+4')
Coverage of the National League clash between Gateshead and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Gateshead
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Chesterfield
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.

Result
GatesheadDrawChesterfield
36.3% (-0.263 -0.26)24.46% (0.165 0.16)39.23% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Both teams to score 59.66% (-0.644 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (-0.826 -0.83)43.18% (0.824 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (-0.82 -0.82)65.58% (0.819 0.82)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.51599999999999 -0.52)23.51% (0.515 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.751 -0.75)57.54% (0.748 0.75)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.99% (-0.315 -0.31)22% (0.314 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.68% (-0.482 -0.48)55.32% (0.48 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Gateshead 36.3%
    Chesterfield 39.23%
    Draw 24.46%
GatesheadDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.49% (0.158 0.16)
2-0 @ 5.42% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.95% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.13 0.13)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.46%
1-2 @ 8.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.83% (0.209 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.93% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 4.33% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.99% (0.024 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 39.23%

Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gateshead
1-0
Chesterfield
Rigg (27' pen.)
White (42')

Evans (27'), Reid (50')
Sep 22, 2018 3pm
Chesterfield
0-3
Gateshead

Weir (54')
Hines (64')
Boden (18', 68'), Rigg (43')
Boden (83')