Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.