Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
36.3% ( -0.26) | 24.46% ( 0.16) | 39.23% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.66% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.82% ( -0.83) | 43.18% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.42% ( -0.82) | 65.58% ( 0.82) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.49% ( -0.52) | 23.51% ( 0.52) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.45% ( -0.75) | 57.54% ( 0.75) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.99% ( -0.31) | 22% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.68% ( -0.48) | 55.32% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 4.33% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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