Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.83%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 36.3% ( | 24.46% ( | 39.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.82% ( | 43.18% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.42% ( | 65.58% ( |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( | 23.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( | 57.54% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( | 22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.68% ( | 55.32% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gateshead | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 3-0 @ 2.62% ( 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0-0 @ 5.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0-1 @ 7.83% ( 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 1-3 @ 4.33% ( 2-3 @ 3.14% ( 0-3 @ 2.99% ( 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.23% |