National League | Gameweek 23

Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Gateshead International Stadium

Gateshead
3 - 0
Dag & Red

Storey (26', 35'), Olley (67')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between Gateshead and Dagenham & Redbridge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gateshead

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 2-3 Gateshead
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dagenham & Redbridge

All competitions

Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 46.92%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 0-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
Gateshead	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
46.92% ( 0.95)	24.62% ( -0.13)	28.46% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35% (

0.09)

46.64% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.08% (

0.08)

68.91% (

-0.08)

Gateshead Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

0.44)

19.95% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88% (

0.71)

52.12% (

-0.71)

Dagenham & Redbridge Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91% (

-0.55)

30.09% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.77% (

-0.66)

66.23% (

0.66)

Score Analysis

Gateshead 46.92%

Dagenham & Redbridge 28.46%

Draw 24.62%

Gateshead	Draw	Dagenham & Redbridge
1-0 @ 9.68% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.9% Total : 46.92%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.16% Total : 28.46%