National League Gameweek 44
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT Plainmoor Ground
  • Aaron Jarvis 14' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 21' goal
  • Aaron Jarvis 58' goal
  • goal Lenell John-Lewis 30'
  • goal Adam Crookes 90'

Torquay United vs York City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
Maidenhead 1 - 3 Torquay Utd
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Aaron Jarvis

York City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2023 3.00pm
York City 0 - 3 Halifax
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Lenell John-Lewis

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result

Torquay United 46.01% (-0.01)
Draw 24.3% (+0.01)
York City 29.69% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.85% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.47% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.53% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.11% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.89% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.87% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.13%

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5 80.51% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.49% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.36% (+0.01)

York City Goals

Over 0.5 71.86% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 28.15% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.17%
Under 1.5 63.83% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Torquay United 46.01%
Draw 24.3%
York City 29.69%
Torquay United
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4%
3-2 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 2.07%
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 46.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.37%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.3%
York City
1-2 @ 7.21%
0-1 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.05% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 1.86%
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 29.69%

Head to Head

National League Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bootham Crescent
  • Alex Hurst 71' goal
National League
Dec 17, 2016 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Rhys Murphy 34' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Parkin 34' yellowcard
  • Sean Newton 92' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Courtney Richards 6'
  • yellowcard Ben Gerring 83'
National League
Sep 10, 2016 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Nathan Blissett 6' goal
  • Nathan Blissett 29' goal
  • Courtney Richards 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Brodie 93'
League Two
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Will Hayhurst 11' goal
  • Ben Davies 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Downes 19'
League Two
Oct 5, 2013 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Anthony O'Connor 67' yellowcard
  • goal Wes Fletcher 53'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 65'
  • goal Josh Carson 67'
  • goal Ryan Jarvis 73'
League Two
Mar 23, 2013 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Elliot Benyon 6' goal
  • Ryan Jarvis 23' goal
  • Angus MacDonald 69' yellowcard
  • Tom Cruise 73' redcard
  • Michael Poke 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Richard Cresswell 69'
  • goal Richard Cresswell 73'
  • yellowcard David McGurk 84'