National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 15, 2023 at 3pm UK

Plainmoor Ground

Torquay Utd
3 - 2
York City

Jarvis (14', 21', 58' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-1)

John-Lewis (30'), Crookes (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Torquay United and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Torquay United

All competitions

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Torquay Utd
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 0-3 Halifax
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 46.01%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest York City win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.

Result
Torquay United	Draw	York City
46.01% ( -0)	24.3% ( 0)	29.69% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.85% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.47% (

-0)

44.53% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.11% (

-0)

66.89% (

Torquay United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.51% (

-0)

19.49% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.64% (

-0.01)

51.36% (

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.86% (

-0)

28.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.17%

63.83% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Torquay United 46.01%

York City 29.69%

Draw 24.3%

Torquay United	Draw	York City
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4% 3-2 @ 3.21% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 46.01%	1-1 @ 11.37% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.49% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.36% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.3%	1-2 @ 7.21% 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.49% 0-3 @ 1.86% 1-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.75% Total : 29.69%