National League | Gameweek 41

Apr 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Bootham Crescent

York City
1 - 0
Barnet

Forde (40')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's National League clash between York City and Barnet, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

York City

All competitions

Last Game: York City 0-0 Scunthorpe
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Woking 1-1 Barnet
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for York City had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.35%) and 0-2 (5.88%). The likeliest York City win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
York City	Draw	Barnet
35.49% ( 0.2)	23.9% ( -0.53)	40.61% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 61.64% (

1.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.45% (

2.57)

40.55% (

-2.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.07% (

2.59)

62.93% (

-2.59)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.26% (

1.3)

22.74% (

-1.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.58% (

1.89)

56.42% (

-1.89)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.79% (

1.25)

20.21% (

-1.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.47% (

1.96)

52.53% (

-1.97)

Score Analysis

York City 35.49%

Barnet 40.61%

Draw 23.89%

York City	Draw	Barnet
2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.23) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.49%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.56) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.89%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.35% ( -0.59) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.25) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.15) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 3% Total : 40.61%