Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 34.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.