Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 46.86% ( | 24.86% ( | 28.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.21% ( | 47.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.02% ( | 69.97% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.44% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( | 52.89% ( |
| Scunthorpe United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( | 30.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( | 67.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Scunthorpe United |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 3-1 @ 4.95% ( 3-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 4-2 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 46.86% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( 0-0 @ 6.3% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 3-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.86% | 0-1 @ 7.42% ( 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0-2 @ 4.37% ( 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 2.98% Total : 28.28% |