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National League | Gameweek 38
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bootham Crescent
Scunthorpe United

York City
0 - 0
Scunthorpe

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's National League clash between York City and Scunthorpe United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 York City
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 46.86%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
46.86% (2.475 2.48)24.86% (-0.146 -0.15)28.28% (-2.331 -2.33)
Both teams to score 55.04% (-0.944 -0.94)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (-0.592 -0.59)47.79% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (-0.547 -0.55)69.97% (0.544 0.54)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.55% (0.846 0.85)20.44% (-0.849 -0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.1% (1.329 1.33)52.89% (-1.331 -1.33)
Scunthorpe United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-1.945 -1.94)30.81% (1.944 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91% (-2.353 -2.35)67.08% (2.351 2.35)
Score Analysis
    York City 46.86%
    Scunthorpe United 28.28%
    Draw 24.86%
York CityDrawScunthorpe United
1-0 @ 10% (0.492 0.49)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.209 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.94% (0.584 0.58)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.234 0.23)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.409 0.41)
3-2 @ 2.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.141 0.14)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.201 0.2)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 46.86%
1-1 @ 11.77% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.152 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.175 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.86%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.409 -0.41)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.379 -0.38)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.252 -0.25)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.28%

Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Scunthorpe
1-1
York City
Apter (88')
Nuttall (45+1')
John-Lewis (23' pen.)
May 3, 2014 3pm
Oct 29, 2013 7.45pm
York City
4-1
Scunthorpe
Carson (7'), Fletcher (12'), Brobbel (20', 40')
Whitehouse (26')
Winnall (47')
Syers (27'), Dawson (43')