Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for York City had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest York City win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 29.74% ( | 26.78% ( | 43.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.92% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( | 54.86% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( | 76.16% ( |
| York City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.59% ( | 33.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.96% ( | 70.03% ( |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( | 25.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.29% ( | 59.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| York City | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% 2-1 @ 6.96% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 2.54% ( 3-0 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.43% Total : 29.74% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 8.36% 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.77% | 0-1 @ 11.58% 1-2 @ 8.79% 0-2 @ 8.02% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.41% 0-4 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.48% |