Club Friendlies

Jul 27, 2023 at 1.30am UK

NRG Stadium

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Man Utd

Bellingham (6', 6'), Joselu (89', 89')
Camavinga (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martinez (42'), Fernandes (81')

Reaction

Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 23, 2023

Carlo Ancelotti pleased with development of newly-implemented formation

Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti says that his newly-implemented 4-4-2 formation "is going well".

Jul 27, 07:57

Manchester United midfielder Kobbie Mainoo on July 22, 2023

Erik ten Hag reacts to Kobbie Mainoo injury blow against Real Madrid

Manchester United head coach Erik ten Hag is unsure of the extent of the injury that Kobbie Mainoo suffered against Real Madrid.

Jul 27, 07:39

Atalanta BC forward Rasmus Hojlund in action for Denmark on June 19, 2023

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Manchester United boss Erik ten Hag says that Wednesday's 2-0 defeat to Real Madrid highlighted the club's need to sign a new centre-forward.

Jul 27, 07:20

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Real Madrid 3-2 AC Milan
Monday, July 24 at 3.10am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Manchester United

All competitions

Club Friendlies 1

Last Game: Man Utd 0-2 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Manchester United
51.91% ( 0.08)	22.33% ( -0.04)	25.76% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.54% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76% (

0.13)

38.24% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.49% (

0.14)

60.51% (

-0.14)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.1% (

0.08)

14.9% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.74% (

0.14)

43.26% (

-0.13)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.04)

27.69% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

0.05)

63.25% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 51.91%

Manchester United 25.76%

Draw 22.33%

Real Madrid	Draw	Manchester United
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.1% Total : 51.91%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.33%	1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 25.76%