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Karim Benzema
31'
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Rodrygo
89'
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Raul de Tomas
84'
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Real Madrid Goals
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 11.68% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 9.99% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.05)
4-1 @ 3.96% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.56% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 72.87%
0-0 @ 5.16% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 17.21%
1-2 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.26% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 9.92%
Head to Head
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Santi Comesana
5'
-
Alvaro Garcia
44'
-
Oscar Trejo
67'
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Luka Modric
37'
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Eder Militao
41'
-
Oscar Valentin
42'
-
Oscar Trejo
56'
-
Ivan Balliu
65'
-
Bebe
72'
-
Alejandro Catena
79'
-
Casemiro
58'
-
Ferland Mendy
63'
-
Karim Benzema
83'
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Dani Ceballos
90'+6'
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Toni Kroos
14'
-
Toni Kroos
29'
-
Karim Benzema
38'
-
Ivan Balliu
45'+1'
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Santi Comesana
68'
-
Radamel Falcao
76'
-
Adri Embarba
23'
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Mario Suarez
43'
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Uche Agbo
90'
-
Jesus Vallejo
22'
-
Luka Modric
28'
-
Mariano
62'
-
Dani Carvajal
79'
-
Marcelo
86'
-
Karim Benzema
13'
-
Alejandro Galvez
39'
-
Bebe
64'
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Giannelli Imbula
83'
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Adri Embarba
7'
-
Miku
14'
-
Jozabed Sanchez
53'
-
Jose Angel Crespo
62'
-
Manuel Iturra
67'
-
Roberto Trashorras
73'
-
Antonio Amaya
76'
-
Razvan Rat
83'
-
Gareth Bale
35'
-
Lucas Vasquez
52'
-
Mateo Kovacic
66'
-
Gareth Bale
81'