La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 36

May 24, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Benzema (31'), Rodrygo (89')

FT(HT: 1-0)

de Tomas (84')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Real Madrid
Sunday, May 21 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, May 21 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 72.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 9.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.68%) and 3-0 (9.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.18%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
72.87% ( 0.18)	17.21% ( -0.06)	9.92% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 45.1% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.88% (

-0.08)

43.12% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.48% (

-0.08)

65.52% (

0.08)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.61% (

0.02)

10.39% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.09% (

0.05)

33.91% (

-0.05)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.33% (

-0.3)

49.67% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.57% (

-0.21)

84.43% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 72.87%

Rayo Vallecano 9.92%

Draw 17.21%

Real Madrid	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
2-0 @ 13.23% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.99% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.97% Total : 72.87%	1-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.63% Total : 17.21%	0-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.19% Total : 9.92%