Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 43.15% ( | 26.93% ( | 29.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.55% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.62% ( | 55.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.42% ( | 76.58% ( |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( | 25.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% | 60.25% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.45% ( | 33.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.81% ( | 70.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% 2-1 @ 8.73% 2-0 @ 8% ( 3-1 @ 3.99% 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( 2-2 @ 4.77% ( Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.92% | 0-1 @ 9.32% ( 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0-2 @ 5.09% ( 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 2-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.91% |