La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Morente (45+1'), Boye (52'), Fidel (53'), Gumbau (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Elche	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
26.8% ( 0.36)	26.19% ( 0.15)	47% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 49.81% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.89% (

-0.33)

54.11% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.47% (

-0.27)

75.53% (

0.27)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.7% (

0.12)

35.29% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.94% (

0.13)

72.05% (

-0.13)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.37)

23.01% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.18% (

-0.54)

56.81% (

0.54)

Score Analysis

Elche 26.8%

Rayo Vallecano 47%

Draw 26.19%

Elche	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.8%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 11.93% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 47%