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Athletic Bilbao logo
Atletico Madrid logo
Barcelona logo
Celta Vigo logo
Getafe logo
Girona logo
Las Palmas
Leganes logo
Mallorca logo
Osauna logo
Rayo Vallecano logo
Real Betis logo
Real Madrid logo
Real Sociedad logo
Real Valladolid logo
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Elche
La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero
Rayo Vallecano logo

Elche
4 - 0
Rayo Vallecano

Morente (45+1'), Boye (52'), Fidel (53'), Gumbau (72')
Clerc (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Iraola (37'), Garcia (45+4'), Saveljich (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Elche and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-0 Elche
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Barcelona
Wednesday, April 26 at 9pm in La Liga

We said: Elche 0-2 Rayo Vallecano

Elche are heading back down to the Segunda Division for the 2023-24 campaign, and this will be a very difficult match against a Rayo side pushing towards the top six. We are actually expecting this to be a comfortable victory for the visitors, who were excellent against Barcelona last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 47%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
26.8% (0.36 0.36) 26.19% (0.145 0.15) 47% (-0.507 -0.51)
Both teams to score 49.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.89% (-0.326 -0.33)54.11% (0.323 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.47% (-0.273 -0.27)75.53% (0.27 0.27)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7% (0.121 0.12)35.29% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.94% (0.128 0.13)72.05% (-0.131 -0.13)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (-0.372 -0.37)23.01% (0.369 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (-0.54499999999999 -0.54)56.81% (0.543 0.54)
Score Analysis
    Elche 26.8%
    Rayo Vallecano 47%
    Draw 26.19%
ElcheDrawRayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 8.46% (0.134 0.13)
2-1 @ 6.47% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.085 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.25% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.8%
1-1 @ 12.42% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 11.93% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 8.77% (-0.081 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.47% (-0.076 -0.08)
0-3 @ 4.29% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 47%

How you voted: Elche vs Rayo Vallecano

Elche
20.0%
Draw
20.0%
Rayo Vallecano
60.0%
40
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2022 8pm
gameweek 7
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Camello (40'), Lopez (90+5')
Boye (32')
Gonzalez (23')
Feb 18, 2022 8pm
gameweek 25
Elche
2-1
Rayo Vallecano
Carrillo (76'), Ponce (84')
Guti (32'), Mojica (90+6')
Garcia (52')
Comesana (7'), Catena (68'), Sylla (72'), Balliu (75')
Oct 17, 2021 1pm
gameweek 9
Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Elche
Hernandez (26'), Nteka (65')
Lopez (81'), Garcia (90+1')
Boye (14')
Gumbau (28'), Casilla (90+4')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Third Round
Rayo Vallecano
2-0
Elche
Bebe (36'), Catena (78')
Isi (75')

Nino (39'), Lucumi (71')
Mar 8, 2020 11am
gameweek 31
Rayo Vallecano
2-3
Elche
Suarez (30' pen.), Montiel (88')
Advincula (45'), Milic (84'), Catena (90')
Isi (63')
Gil (58'), Milla (67'), Escriche (79')
Manolin (45'), Gil (73'), Fidel (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona17122350193138
2Real Madrid16113234132136
3Atletico MadridAtletico16105130111935
4Athletic Bilbao1795326151132
5Villarreal157532725226
6Real Sociedad167361611524
7Osasuna166642225-324
8Mallorca177371620-424
9GironaGirona166462223-122
10Celta Vigo166372527-221
11Real BetisBetis165651820-221
12Rayo Vallecano155461516-119
13Sevilla165471723-619
14Las PalmasLas Palmas165382227-518
15Getafe163761113-216
16AlavesAlaves164391827-915
17Leganes163671423-915
18Espanyol1541101528-1313
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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