Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 62.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.69%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Girona in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Girona.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Elche |
62.76% ( 0.16) | 22.33% ( 0.05) | 14.91% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 44.08% ( -0.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.18% ( -0.53) | 52.82% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.56% ( -0.46) | 74.44% ( 0.46) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.68% ( -0.13) | 16.31% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.1% ( -0.24) | 45.9% ( 0.24) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.67% ( -0.61) | 47.32% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.27% ( -0.46) | 82.73% ( 0.46) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Elche |
1-0 @ 13.99% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 12.69% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 7.67% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.77% Total : 62.76% | 1-1 @ 10.47% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.58% Total : 22.33% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.08% Total : 14.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |