La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 30

Apr 23, 2023 at 1pm UK

Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Elche
0 - 2
Valencia

FT(HT: 0-2)

Lino (19'), Gonzalo (42' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Elche and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Elche

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-0 Elche
Sunday, April 16 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 0-2 Sevilla
Sunday, April 16 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Elche	Draw	Valencia
26.22% ( -0.09)	25.49% ( -0.03)	48.28% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 51.43% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.22% (

0.05)

51.77% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.46% (

0.04)

73.54% (

-0.04)

Elche Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.48% (

-0.05)

34.52% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.76% (

-0.05)

71.23% (

0.05)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.54% (

0.07)

21.46% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.52% (

0.11)

54.48% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Elche 26.22%

Valencia 48.27%

Draw 25.49%

Elche	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.22%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.49%	0-1 @ 11.39% 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 48.27%