La Liga
Gameweek
30
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F50%2Felclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fvallog.png)
-
Samuel Lino
19'
-
Gonzalo
42'
(OG)
Elche vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F11%2Fvalencia.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Elche had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result
Elche
26.22%
▼
(-0.09)
Draw
25.49%
▼
(-0.03)
Valencia
48.28%
▲
(+0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
51.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.22%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
51.77%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
26.46%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
73.54%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
12.29%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
87.7%
▼
(-0.03)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5
65.48%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
34.52%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
28.76%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
71.23%
▲
(+0.05)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5
78.54%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
21.46%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 1.5
45.52%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
54.48%
▼
(-0.11)
Score analysis
Elche
26.22%
Draw
25.49%
Valencia
48.27%
Elche
1-0
@
7.88%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%
2-1 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%
Draw
1-1
@
12.12%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.49%
0-0 @ 7.41% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.49%
Valencia
0-1
@
11.39%
1-2 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.27%
1-2 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 4.79% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 4.5% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.84% ▲ (+0.02)
0-4 @ 1.73% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 48.27%
