La Liga Gameweek 33
May 4, 2023 9.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Raul de Tomas 48' goal
  • Sergio Camello 80' goal
  • goal Sergio Leon 84'

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Valladolid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 3.15pm
Elche 4 - 0 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Isi

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 30, 2023 8.00pm
Valladolid 2 - 5 Atletico
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result

Rayo Vallecano 58.27% (-0.18)
Draw 22.36% (+0.10)
Real Valladolid 19.37% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.74% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.15% (-0.29)
Under 2.5 45.85% (+0.29)
Over 3.5 31.83% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 68.16% (+0.27)
Over 4.5 15.96% (-0.20)
Under 4.5 84.04% (+0.20)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 84.57% (-0.16)
Under 0.5 15.43% (+0.16)
Over 1.5 55.73% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 44.26% (+0.29)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 62.36% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 37.64% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 25.58% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 74.41% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Rayo Vallecano 58.26%
Draw 22.35%
Real Valladolid 19.37%
Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 10.85% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 10.14% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 6.17% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.95% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.89% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.41% (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 58.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.6% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.81% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.1%
Total : 22.35%
Real Valladolid
0-1 @ 5.67% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 5.18% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 2.77% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.69% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 19.37%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2023 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • goal Isi 65'
La Liga Gameweek 37
May 12, 2019 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
  • Alex Moreno 69' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Medran 73' goal
  • Pozo 76' yellowcard
  • goal Enes Unal 6'
  • yellowcard Kiko 77'
  • goal Sergio Guardiola 80'
  • yellowcard Fernando Calero 86'
La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 5, 2019 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
  • goal Alvaro Medran 1'
  • yellowcard Adri Embarba 56'
  • yellowcard Oscar Trejo 59'
  • yellowcard Bebe 65'
Segunda Division
Mar 4, 2018 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
  • Anuar 33' yellowcard
  • Borja 38' yellowcard
  • Jaime Mata 48' goal
  • Javi Moyano 57' yellowcard
  • Jaime Mata 72' yellowcard
  • Fernando Calero 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emiliano Velazquez 48'
  • goal Raul de Tomas 55'
  • redcard Emiliano Velazquez 70'
  • yellowcard Baiano 90'
Segunda Division
Oct 8, 2017 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio del Rayo Vallecano (de Vallecas Teresa Rivero) (Madrid)
  • Adri Embarba 8' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 16' goal
  • Oscar Trejo 24' yellowcard
  • Raul de Tomas 41' goal
  • Adri Embarba 85' goal
  • yellowcard Oscar Plano 34'
  • yellowcard Iban Salvador 37'
  • goal Oscar Plano 52'
  • yellowcard Asier Villalibre 61'
  • redcard Luismi 61'
  • yellowcard Angel 65'
  • yellowcard Michel 68'
La Liga
Mar 22, 2014 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Ze Castro 8' goal
  • Fausto Rossi 8' yellowcard
  • Stefan Mitrovic 28' yellowcard
  • Marc Valiente 50' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Rubio 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alberto Bueno 10'
  • goal Alberto Bueno 45'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 79'