La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 33

May 4, 2023 at 9pm UK

Estadio de Vallecas

Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Valladolid

de Tomas (48'), Camello (80')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Leon (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Elche 4-0 Rayo Vallecano
Saturday, April 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 2-5 Atletico
Sunday, April 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rayo Vallecano would win this match.

Result
Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Valladolid
58.27% ( -0.18)	22.36% ( 0.09)	19.37% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.74% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.15% (

-0.29)

45.85% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.83% (

-0.27)

68.16% (

0.27)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.57% (

-0.16)

15.43% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.73% (

-0.29)

44.26% (

0.29)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.36% (

-0.08)

37.64% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.58% (

-0.08)

74.41% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Rayo Vallecano 58.26%

Real Valladolid 19.37%

Draw 22.35%

Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 58.26%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.35%	0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 19.37%