La Liga Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 8.00pm
2
5
HT : 1 3
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
  • Cyle Larin 42' goal
  • Sergio Escudero 74' goal
  • goal Nahuel Molina 20'
  • goal Jose Gimenez 24'
  • goal Alvaro Morata 38'
  • goal Joaquin Fernandez 86' (OG)
  • goal Memphis Depay 90'+3'

Real Valladolid vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2023 6.30pm
Valencia 2 - 1 Valladolid
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Cyle Larin

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2023 6.30pm
Atletico 3 - 1 Mallorca
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Antoine Griezmann

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result

Real Valladolid 22.84% (+0.05)
Draw 24.24% (-0.04)
Atletico Madrid 52.92% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.83% (+0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.44% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 49.55% (-0.19)
Over 3.5 28.42% (+0.18)
Under 3.5 71.58% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 13.59% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 86.41% (-0.12)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5 63.73% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 36.27% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 26.95% (+0.16)
Under 1.5 73.05% (-0.16)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 81.32% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 18.67% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 49.99% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 50.01% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Real Valladolid 22.84%
Draw 24.23%
Atletico Madrid 52.91%
Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 6.87% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 5.85% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.48% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.18% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 22.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.77% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 4.91% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.23%
Atletico Madrid
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.54% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 5.41% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.74% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.15% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 52.91%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 18
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
  • Alvaro Morata 18' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 23' goal
  • Mario Hermoso 28' goal
La Liga Gameweek 38
May 22, 2021 5.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Oscar Plano 18' goal
  • Maranhao 55' yellowcard
  • Jawad El Yamiq 70' yellowcard
  • Michel 74' yellowcard
  • Fede 78' yellowcard
  • goal Angel Correa 57'
  • goal Luis Suarez 67'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 78'
  • yellowcard Felipe 83'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 87'
La Liga Gameweek 12
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Stefan Savic 24' yellowcard
  • Vitolo 40' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 49' yellowcard
  • Thomas Lemar 56' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 72' goal
  • Hector Herrera 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javier Sanchez Moreno 51'
  • yellowcard Roque Mesa 81'
La Liga Gameweek 30
Jun 20, 2020 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Wanda Metropolitano
  • Thomas Partey 56' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 59' yellowcard
  • Yannick Carrasco 69' yellowcard
  • Diego Costa 75' yellowcard
  • Vitolo 81' goal
  • yellowcard Waldo Rubio 64'
  • yellowcard Michel 88'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla (Valladolid)
  • Nacho 2' yellowcard
  • Toni 10' yellowcard
  • Javi Moyano 29' yellowcard
  • Oscar Plano 48' yellowcard
  • Borja 52' yellowcard
  • Waldo Rubio 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Morata 25'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 45'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 60'
  • yellowcard Thomas Lemar 89'
La Liga Gameweek 35
Apr 27, 2019 3.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Wanda Metropolitano (Madrid)
  • Diego Godin 5' yellowcard
  • Thomas 38' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Fernandez 66' goal
  • Angel Correa 90' yellowcard
  • Koke 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Javi Moyano 1'
  • yellowcard Ruben Alcaraz 35'