La Liga | Gameweek 32
Apr 30, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Valladolid2 - 5Atletico
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga
We said: Real Valladolid 0-1 Atletico Madrid
Real Valladolid will be looking over their shoulder again following their loss at Valencia, and Atletico are arguably the most difficult side to face in the league at the moment. Simeone's team will be missing some key players on Sunday but should have enough quality to edge out another victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
22.84% ( 0.04) | 24.24% ( -0.03) | 52.92% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.83% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
