La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 32

Apr 30, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla

Valladolid
2 - 5
Atletico

Larin (42' pen.), Escudero (74')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Molina (20'), Gimenez (24'), Morata (38'), Fernandez (86' og.), Depay (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valencia 2-1 Valladolid
Thursday, April 27 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

Last Game: Atletico 3-1 Mallorca
Wednesday, April 26 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 22.84%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
22.84% ( 0.04)	24.24% ( -0.03)	52.92% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 51.83% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.44% (

0.19)

49.55% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.42% (

0.17)

71.58% (

-0.17)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.73% (

0.15)

36.27% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.95% (

0.15)

73.05% (

-0.15)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.32% (

0.07)

18.67% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.99% (

0.11)

50.01% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 22.84%

Atletico Madrid 52.91%

Draw 24.23%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.85% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 22.84%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.23%	0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 52.91%